昨天，比特币在似乎势不可挡的长期上涨之后录得第一根修正蜡烛，导致期货市场清算超过 10 亿美元。
自今天上午以来，价格已部分从暴跌中恢复，达到 66,500 美元上方，并为牛市持续下去带来了希望。
许多人预计未来几天会出现更明显的逆转，但事实真的会如此吗？
下面，对加密货币未来价格的分析和预测。
比特币被拒绝创历史新高：闪电崩盘至 59,000 美元，期货清算 10 亿美元
昨天，比特币似乎如此强劲，以至于预计将创下新的历史高点，数字黄金的价格越来越接近 69,000 美元的目标，这一目标在 2021 年 11 月才达到过一次。
然而，一旦达到决定性的水平，
报价就真正开始显现出来
，在同一交易时间内使价格跌破 67,000 美元，然后在接下来的几个小时内继续下跌，直到导致闪电崩盘，跌至 59,000 美元左右。
尽管许多市场分析师预测了这种规模的崩盘的可能性，但考虑到过去的价格趋势，
许多交易者仍陷入恐慌。
对于Coinbase上的欧洲交易员来说，看跌操作期间的焦虑感更大，以至于比特币跌至49,500欧元，短短3小时内暴跌23.5%。
如此大规模的价格下跌引发了
许多比特币杠杆期货头寸的清算
，
总价值达 11.8 亿美元。
其中，多头头寸为8.9亿美元，空头头寸为2.9亿美元。
通常，当加密货币市场“杠杆过高”时，它会以蜡烛做出反应，扫除所有顶级投机者，恢复交易时段的秩序和平静。
在昨天的爆仓文章中，我们谈到了杠杆需求如此强烈的市场的内在危险，
在某些情况下资金费率高达0.25%。
比特币和以太币的价格已达到 0.1% 以上，但今天其价值几乎减半，消除了市场异常现象。
多头仍然控制着局势，并要求市场提供大部分财务杠杆，但同时他们也不像昨天那么有信心。
查看Coinalyze图表，我们注意到，即使是未平仓合约也急剧放缓，在几个小时内缩回了28亿美元，但立即收复了20亿美元的失地并重新定位以进行新的向上攀升。
The volume on futures markets is up 40% in the last 24 hours, indicating strong interest in trading, amounting to 214 billion dollars according to Coinglass data.
Now the hardest part is to stay clear-headed and analyze the Bitcoin chart objectively, without being swayed by emotions and irrationality, and making a price prediction based on data.
Analysis and future price prediction: is the Bitcoin bull run already over?
After yesterday’s flash crash, several traders mistakenly shouted the end of the bull market convinced that after the outcome of a single daily candle it is possible to establish the reversal of a trend so strong that has been continuously rising since October 2023.
Although yesterday’s correction may certainly open the doors to a broader tracking phase, at the same time the medium-term bullish forecasts aiming for a clear surpassing of historical highs remain unchanged.
As long as the price of Bitcoin remains above $60,000, we find all the technical conditions necessary to continue to be bullish on the imminent future of the crypto.
The outcome of the negotiations in the coming hours will depend heavily on a possible new break of the highs or on a stagnation of prices below that figure.
In the first case, we could celebrate another bullish run, which would culminate this time in a phase of price discovery for BTC.
In the second case, however, we could expect another dump from here until the end of the week, which, however, will push down below the minimum touched yesterday with low probability.
At this point we must emphasize, to the joy of bears, that the market volumes in this post-dump phase of Bitcoin are very low, and not at all encouraging for another bullish acceleration.
If the volumes do not reach the opening of the US markets, the trend could be destined to decrease in the short term.
Anyway, the most likely forecast for the next few days is a ranging between $69,000 and $60,000, with crypto prices potentially fluctuating heavily within this range.
The bull run is not over yet, and we still have months of pure fun ahead before the bears can truly take control of the situation.
However, in this phase of pause, where prices must settle at a fair value after large sessions of speculative trading, it is advisable not to expose oneself excessively on altcoins or on leveraged positions, as the risk of getting hurt is very high.
Medium and long-term forecasts always indicate a largely positive scenario for Bitcoin and the rest of the crypto market, but now is the time to stop and breathe, waiting for new candles to give us the right indication on short-term price action.
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