随着周末的到来，比特币 (BTC) 出现显着上涨，周六交易价格达到 41,700 美元，涨幅近 1.40%。

尽管存在这种积极的势头，但由于《纽约时报》对比特币的前景保持谨慎立场，怀疑论仍然存在。

印度央行行长将加密货币标记为印度卢比稳定的风险，敦促投资者谨慎行事，这加剧了前景的谨慎。

与此同时，商品期货交易委员会 (CFTC) 报告称，加密货币交易所 Debiex 因涉嫌浪漫诈骗而损失 230 万美元，凸显了加密货币领域的漏洞。

此外，美元指数（DXY）的强势被视为对比特币复苏的潜在威胁，而灰度比特币信托（GBTC）的抛售压力则加剧了这一威胁。

由于多种因素的影响，投资者正在考虑现在是否是买入比特币和以太坊的合适时机，因为后者触及 2,500 美元大关。

印度储备银行行长警告：加密货币威胁卢比稳定

印度储备银行 (RBI) 行长 Shaktikanta Das 谈到了加密货币带来的严重风险，特别是对发展中国家而言。

达斯强调了对货币体系、货币稳定和金融稳定可能产生的影响。

他对加密货币缺乏基础资产及其在支付系统和银行业务中替代货币的能力表示担忧。

尽管美国证券交易委员会已经批准了现货比特币交易所交易基金（ETF），但达斯强调了加密货币的投机性质，并认为存在相当大的风险。

州长的谨慎态度增加了加密货币必须克服的监管障碍，并可能导致市场更加波动。

CFTC 报告：Debiex 交易所遭受 230 万美元的浪漫诈骗

商品期货交易委员会（CFTC）将加密货币交易所 Debiex 标记为“欺诈性数字资产平台”，指责其高级员工精心策划浪漫欺骗以诈骗资金。

The CFTC’s report alleges that Debiex representatives engaged in forming intimate relationships with potential clients, gaining their trust, and subsequently persuading them to open and fund trading accounts. This scheme reportedly siphoned over $2 million, with five victims currently identified over two years.

These romance scam allegations add to a series of challenges within the cryptocurrency industry, potentially impacting investor sentiment and activity by undermining the trust and credibility of crypto exchanges.

US Dollar Rally and GBTC Sell-Off Endanger Bitcoin’s Recovery

The U.S. Dollar Index’s (DXY) rally, up 2.71% from its December 27 low, poses a challenge to Bitcoin’s price recovery. Bolstered by robust retail sales and positive economic data, the DXY has seen significant gains. Concurrently, Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) has experienced substantial outflows, with around 38,000 BTC withdrawn since January 11, when spot Bitcoin ETFs were introduced.

Economist Peter Schiff attributes these GBTC outflows as a key factor preventing Bitcoin’s price rise. Technical analysis suggests Bitcoin could potentially fall back to around $34,000, having been repelled at the $48,000 level, which aligns with the upper limit of an ascending parallel channel.

Despite these pressures, some market observers maintain a positive long-term outlook on the impact of spot Bitcoin ETFs. However, the specter of fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD) looms, with the potential to trigger further selloffs if negative sentiment escalates.

Bitcoin Price Prediction

Bitcoin has recently exited the narrow corridor where it had been confined, ranging between $43,400 and $41,600. The fall beneath this bracket indicates a bearish shift away from the previously observed lateral trading pattern.

At present, Bitcoin is hovering around $41,500, falling short of the 50 EMA mark set at $42,883, potentially acting as a hurdle to upward movement. The current descent reflects a rise in selling activity, with Bitcoin approaching a critical juncture of support near the $41,600 threshold.

Should Bitcoin fail to maintain this support, attention may turn to the next significant support near the range’s lower edge. Market participants are keeping a watchful eye on these levels to determine Bitcoin’s forthcoming trajectory.

Ethereum Price Prediction

Ethereum (ETH) finds itself within a descending channel, trading close to $2,464, just shy of the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2,495, which could serve as an immediate resistance point. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 44, indicating a neutral position and allowing for possible price swings in both directions. Ethereum’s support is established at $2,475 by key Fibonacci levels, with a more decisive support at $2,417. A drop below this could precipitate further losses.

另一方面，阻力位在 2,605 美元，当前通道的上限可能会进一步阻碍价格上涨。

交易者应谨慎对待市场，密切关注已确定的支撑位和阻力位，以获取当前趋势反转或延续的信号。

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